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Extreme Events Analysis

Assessment of the risk and frequency of extreme hydrological events for disaster preparedness and mitigation.

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Faculty

Joaquín Meza

Assistant Professor

Eng. MSc, PhD in Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Davis, USA

Miguel Lagos

Assistant Professor

Eng. MSc, PhD en Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Chile

Álvaro Ossandón

Assistant Professor

Eng. MSc, PhD in Civil Engineering, University of Colorado at Boulder, USA

Students and alumni

Articles

Under review

  1. Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimation Using Generalized Extreme Value Distribution and Regionalization Analysis
    Ignacio Villavicencio; Alvaro Ossandon y Joaquín Meza
    Submitted

2026

  1. Semi-Bayesian Space-Time Hierarchical Framework for Modeling and Prediction of Seasonal and Extreme Precipitation in the U.S. Northern Great Plains
    Samba Siva Sai Prasad Thota; Balaji Rajagopalan; Imtiaz Rangwala; Álvaro Ossandón
    Water Resources Researchdoi:10.1029/2025wr041467 (se abre en otra pestaña)
  2. SWEpy: An Open-Source GPU-Accelerated Solver for Near-Field Inundation and Far-Field Tsunami Modeling
    Juan Fuenzalida; Danilo Kusanovic; Joaquín Meza; Rodrigo Meneses y Patricio Catalan
    Geoscientific Model Developmentdoi:10.5194/gmd-19-3953-2026 (se abre en otra pestaña)

2025

  1. Extreme precipitation modeling and Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) estimation in Chile
    Yusuke Hiraga y Joaquin Meza
    Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studiesdoi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102274 (se abre en otra pestaña)
  2. A methodology to estimate Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) under Climate Change using a Numerical Weather Model
    Yusuke Hiraga; Ryotaro Tahara y Joaquin Meza
    Journal of Hydrologydoi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132659 (se abre en otra pestaña)

2024

  1. Extreme indices of temperature and precipitation in South America: trends and intercomparison of regional climate models
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Rocío Balmaceda-Huarte; Pedro Regoto; Limbert Torrez; Matías Olmo; André Lyra; David Pareja-Quispe; María Laura Bettolli
    Climate Dynamicsdoi:10.1007/s00382-022-06598-2 (se abre en otra pestaña)
  2. Trends in seasonal precipitation extremes and associated temperatures along continental Chile
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Pablo A. Mendoza; Diego Campos; Roberto Rondanelli
    Climate Dynamicsdoi:10.1007/s00382-024-07127-z (se abre en otra pestaña)

2023

  1. Assessment of the RegCM4-CORDEX-CORE performance in simulating cyclones affecting the western coast of South America
    Natália Machado Crespo; Michelle Simões Reboita; Luiz Felippe Gozzo; Eduardo Marcos de Jesus; José Abraham Torres-Alavez; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Limbert Torrez-Rodriguez; Marco Reale; Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha
    Climate Dynamicsdoi:10.1007/s00382-022-06419-6 (se abre en otra pestaña)

2019

  1. A multiple-parameter methodology for placement of tsunami sensor networks
    Joaquin Meza; Patricio Catalan y Hiroaki Tsushima
    Pure and Applied Geophysicsdoi:10.1007/s00024-019-02381-3 (se abre en otra pestaña)

2014

  1. PMP and PMF estimations in sparsely-gauged Andean basins and climate change projections
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Ximena Vargas M.
    Hydrological Sciences Journaldoi:10.1080/02626667.2013.877588 (se abre en otra pestaña)
  2. Potential influences of climate change on pluvial floods in an Andean watershed
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Ximena Vargas-Mesa
    Tecnología y ciencias del agua