Research

Publications

Articles in indexed journals and presentations at national and international conferences. Names with a dotted underline are students.

31 articles18 presentations Download BibTeX (.bib)

Articles

Under review

  1. Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimation Using Generalized Extreme Value Distribution and Regionalization Analysis
    Ignacio Villavicencio; Alvaro Ossandon; Joaquín Meza
    Submitted

2026

  1. Semi-Bayesian Space-Time Hierarchical Framework for Modeling and Prediction of Seasonal and Extreme Precipitation in the U.S. Northern Great Plains
    Samba Siva Sai Prasad Thota; Balaji Rajagopalan; Imtiaz Rangwala; Álvaro Ossandón
    Water Resources Researchdoi:10.1029/2025wr041467 (opens in a new tab)
  2. SWEpy: An Open-Source GPU-Accelerated Solver for Near-Field Inundation and Far-Field Tsunami Modeling
    Juan Fuenzalida; Danilo Kusanovic; Joaquín Meza; Rodrigo Meneses; Patricio Catalan
    Geoscientific Model Developmentdoi:10.5194/gmd-19-3953-2026 (opens in a new tab)
  3. Battery electric truck deployment, collaborative routing, and charging infrastructure: towards a sustainable freight movement system
    Carlos Otero-Palencia; Miguel Jaller; René Amaya-Mier; Joaquín Meza
    Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practicedoi:10.1016/j.tra.2025.104712 (opens in a new tab)

2025

  1. Study of teleconnection between hydrological variables and climatological variables in a headwater basin of the Maipo River for forecast model application
    Javiera Montalva; Álvaro Ossandón; Lina Castro
    Tecnología y ciencias del aguadoi:10.24850/j-tyca-2025-04-04 (opens in a new tab)
  2. Bayesian hierarchical network model for forecasting daily river stage for rainfed river networks
    Naman K. Rastogi; Balaji Rajagopalan; Álvaro Ossandón
    Journal of Hydrologydoi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132894 (opens in a new tab)
  3. Convection-permitting climate simulations over South America: Experimentation during different phases of ENSO
    Changhai Liu; Kyoko Ikeda; Andreas Prein; Lucia Scaff; Francina Dominguez; Roy Rasmussen; Yongjie Huang; Jimy Dudhia; Wei Wang; Fei Chen; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; et al.
    Atmospheric Researchdoi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107936 (opens in a new tab)
  4. Extreme precipitation modeling and Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) estimation in Chile
    Yusuke Hiraga; Joaquin Meza
    Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studiesdoi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102274 (opens in a new tab)
  5. Ensemble modeling of the two-dimensional stochastic confined groundwater flow through the evolution of the hydraulic head's probability density function
    Joaquin Meza; Levent Kavvas
    Journal of Hydrologydoi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132689 (opens in a new tab)
  6. A methodology to estimate Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) under Climate Change using a Numerical Weather Model
    Yusuke Hiraga; Ryotaro Tahara; Joaquin Meza
    Journal of Hydrologydoi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132659 (opens in a new tab)
  7. Robust spatial changes in climate classes: insights from bias-corrected CMIP6 models across Chile
    Nicolás A Vásquez; Pablo A Mendoza; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Lucía Scaff; Eduardo Muñoz-Castro; Ximena Vargas
    Environmental Research Lettersdoi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad9d5b (opens in a new tab)

2024

  1. Spatial and temporal Bayesian hierarchical model over large domains with application to Holocene Sea surface temperature reconstruction in the equatorial Pacific
    Á Ossandón; J Gual; B Rajagopalan; W Kleiber; T Marchitto
    Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatologydoi:10.1029/2024PA004844 (opens in a new tab)
  2. The Key Role of Temporal Stratification for GCM Bias Correction in Climate Impact Assessments
    Nicolás A. Vásquez; Pablo A. Mendoza; Wouter J. M. Knoben; Louise Arnal; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Martyn Clark; Ximena Vargas
    Earth's Futuredoi:10.1029/2023ef004242 (opens in a new tab)
  3. Screening CMIP6 models for Chile based on past performance and code genealogy
    Felipe Gateño; Pablo A. Mendoza; Nicolás Vásquez; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Héctor Jiménez; Catalina Jerez; Ximena Vargas; Eduardo Rubio-Álvarez; Santiago Montserrat
    Climatic Changedoi:10.1007/s10584-024-03742-1 (opens in a new tab)
  4. Extreme indices of temperature and precipitation in South America: trends and intercomparison of regional climate models
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Rocío Balmaceda-Huarte; Pedro Regoto; Limbert Torrez; Matías Olmo; André Lyra; David Pareja-Quispe; María Laura Bettolli
    Climate Dynamicsdoi:10.1007/s00382-022-06598-2 (opens in a new tab)
  5. Trends in seasonal precipitation extremes and associated temperatures along continental Chile
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Pablo A. Mendoza; Diego Campos; Roberto Rondanelli
    Climate Dynamicsdoi:10.1007/s00382-024-07127-z (opens in a new tab)
  6. Advancing South American Water and Climate Science through Multidecadal Convection-Permitting Modeling
    Francina Dominguez; Roy Rasmussen; Changhai Liu; Kyoko Ikeda; Andreas Prein; Adam Varble; Paola A. Arias; Julio Bacmeister; Maria Laura Bettolli; Patrick Callaghan; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; et al.
    Bulletin of the American Meteorological Societydoi:10.1175/bams-d-22-0226.1 (opens in a new tab)

2023

  1. Snow Persistence and Snow Line Elevation Trends in a Snowmelt-Driven Basin in the Central Andes and Their Correlations with Hydroclimatic Variables
    Felipe Aranda; Diego Medina; Lina Castro; Álvaro Ossandón; Ramón Ovalle; Raúl P. Flores; Tomás R. Bolaño-Ortiz
    Remote Sensingdoi:10.3390/rs15235556 (opens in a new tab)
  2. Forecasting Magnitude and Frequency of Seasonal Streamflow Extremes Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Framework
    Álvaro Ossandón; Balaji Rajagopalan; William Kleiber
    Water Resources Researchdoi:10.1029/2022WR033194 (opens in a new tab)
  3. Assessment of the RegCM4-CORDEX-CORE performance in simulating cyclones affecting the western coast of South America
    Natália Machado Crespo; Michelle Simões Reboita; Luiz Felippe Gozzo; Eduardo Marcos de Jesus; José Abraham Torres-Alavez; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Limbert Torrez-Rodriguez; Marco Reale; Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha
    Climate Dynamicsdoi:10.1007/s00382-022-06419-6 (opens in a new tab)

2022

  1. A Bayesian Hierarchical Model Combination Framework for Real-Time Daily Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Across a Rainfed River Basin
    Álvaro Ossandón; Balaji Rajagopalan; Amar Deep Tiwari; Thomas Thomas; Vimal Mishra
    Earth's Futuredoi:10.1029/2022EF002958 (opens in a new tab)
  2. A Bayesian Hierarchical Framework for Postprocessing Daily Streamflow Simulations across a River Network
    Álvaro Ossandón; Nanditha J. S.; Pablo A. Mendoza; Balaji Rajagopalan; Vimal Mishra
    Journal of Hydrometeorologydoi:10.1175/jhm-d-21-0167.1 (opens in a new tab)
  3. A space–time Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework for projection of seasonal maximum streamflow
    Álvaro Ossandón; Manuela I. Brunner; Balaji Rajagopalan; William Kleiber
    Hydrology and Earth System Sciencesdoi:10.5194/hess-26-149-2022 (opens in a new tab)

2021

  1. An integrated modeling approach for mineral and metal transport in acidic rivers at high mountainous porphyry Cu systems
    Gerardo Zegers; Leonardo Navarro-Valdivia; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Alvaro Navarrete-Calvo; Manuel A. Caraballo; Yarko Niño; James McPhee; Santiago Montserrat
    Journal of Hydrologydoi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126718 (opens in a new tab)
  2. A Bayesian Hierarchical Network Model for Daily Streamflow Ensemble Forecasting
    Álvaro Ossandón; Balaji Rajagopalan; Upmanu Lall; J. S. Nanditha; Vimal Mishra
    Water Resources Researchdoi:10.1029/2021WR029920 (opens in a new tab)
  3. Spatial-temporal multivariate semi-Bayesian hierarchical framework for extreme precipitation frequency analysis
    Álvaro Ossandón; Balaji Rajagopalan; William Kleiber
    Journal of Hydrologydoi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126499 (opens in a new tab)
  4. Snow Processes and Climate Sensitivity in an Arid Mountain Region, Northern Chile
    Francisco Jara; Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Rodrigo Fuster; Cristian Mattar; James McPhee
    Atmospheredoi:10.3390/atmos12040520 (opens in a new tab)

2019

  1. A multiple-parameter methodology for placement of tsunami sensor networks
    Joaquin Meza; Patricio Catalan; Hiroaki Tsushima
    Pure and Applied Geophysicsdoi:10.1007/s00024-019-02381-3 (opens in a new tab)

2017

  1. Wave energy assessment in the central-south coast of Chile
    Felipe Lucero; Patricio Catalán; Álvaro Ossandón; José Beyá; Andrés Puelma; Luis Zamorano
    Renewable Energydoi:10.1016/j.renene.2017.03.076 (opens in a new tab)

2014

  1. PMP and PMF estimations in sparsely-gauged Andean basins and climate change projections
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Ximena Vargas M.
    Hydrological Sciences Journaldoi:10.1080/02626667.2013.877588 (opens in a new tab)
  2. Potential influences of climate change on pluvial floods in an Andean watershed
    Miguel Lagos-Zúñiga; Ximena Vargas-Mesa
    Tecnología y ciencias del agua